Minggu, 23 Maret 2014

Senbatsu Sousenkyo 2014 is up! HKT Analysis for this year! (Part 2 - Prediction on New Ranked Members)


Yeah.. back with me on the part 2 for my HKT analysis on the 6th AKB48 General Election 2014 that will be started from May 20 till June 6 (correct me if i'm wrong), since the quota has been expanded from 64 members to 80 members, so, there are also possibilities on new HKT member who didn't rank last year to get ranked, but who??

I have noted there are about 8-9 members who are possible to make their first rank in this Election, who?

1. Matsuoka Natsumi (Natsu)

Natsu is now, getting more exposed in media, by appearing sensually in FRIDAY, and more magazine, she always gain more songs in setlist, like in Hakata Legend, she always brings 2 songs, the Seifuku Resistance and Kinjirareta Futari, she was also called as the beauty queen of the new Team H HKT48, and also in Indonesia, she also gained more fans, proven by more follower in her fanbase (follower is actually relative, though). but, this can be a great moment, looking at the handshake performance, Natsu has a normal selling, almost close to the front girls. I think, this election can be a new jump for her. My prediction is maybe, she gain Future or Upcoming Girls, but Next Girls will be the most surprising, is there any rich fans of Natsu there? we'll wait for the news

2. Moriyasu Madoka (Madoka)

Frankly speaking, she's my HKT oshimen, so, of course, i'll vote for her. She also gained some recognition from her radio program, that is still running, and also, more due to the TEPPEN event, where she only lose to Sakippe (the winner), and even she equalize Ikuta-chan! (Nogizaka46), could that be great? Magazine appearance also showed her popularity (FRIDAY, Big Girls, or anything),  AKBINGO Lucky Rank also showed the truth that she'll gain more and more fans. But, unluckily, looking at the handshake, Madoka still didn't run well, last individual handshake, Madoka only gained little, only 1 for 17, is that bad? worse i think, also, looking at the mmm... Magic Gum, really dropped a lot (the competitor is Sakura, Haruppi, and Mio though, lol), but Japanese fans told that Madoka fans now is dropped, but, is it influenced?? Let's see. My prediction so far about Madoka is maybe, Future Girls, or Upcoming Girls, but Next Girls will be very shocking thing.. Let's see. (promote : Indonesian fans are having plans to vote for Madoka, check @Morippo_FansINA for more infos in twitter)

3. Yabuki Nako (Nakochan)

Yeah, Nakochan. the smallest member in 48family, until now, gaining center position only for first month before debut, gaining first senbatsu in Sakutabe in the 2nd row, and gaining more recognition through TV, magazine, and anything, is that the amazing debut? I think, i try to compare her to Meru, yeah, it's hard though, but Meru gained the first centre position (Hatsukoi Butterfly), only several months after joining, isn't that great? Looking at the thread in stage48 or even fanbases, Nako always becomes the main topic, and seems, she is almost on the way to substitute Sakura for HKT loli-ness icon, so, what is it gonna be? Nako-chan fans maybe needs to gather a lot, so they can consolidate their votes in Sousenkyo. Nako-chan also gained more bonding with Sasshi (and Mikurin though), so, maybe, this will be more amazing, and TEAM H promotion? So, how's it gonna be then? And also, joining the units for AKB48 Maeshika Mukanee? Baby Elephant units. So far, my prediction for Nakochan is just.. yeah.. Upcoming or Future Girls, looking at the consolidation from Nako-chan's fans

4. Tanaka Miku (Mikurin)

Mikurin, now, becoming the youngest member in 48family (i don't know if any JKT48 3rd gen member is younger than her, tell me), but, i think, is it due to her bonding with Nako or whatever, that she also gained more recognition so far? Gaining more handshake ticket events and beating some members (like Akiyoshi or even Mai-chan), she also joined the senbatsu for Sakutabe in the 2nd row, seems Sasshi also push her so crazy this year, but not more than Nakochan (Sasshi's favorite kids so far). My prediction  for her is.. only, Upcoming Girls

5. Anai Chihiro (Chi-chan, Kyappu)

Our lovely captain, yeah, loli captain, she has been doing great job this year in HKT48, gaining more fans, even surprisingly, in stage48 new member ranking (independent stuff), Kyappu ranked in top 25, more than Nako, Mio, or even Meru (it's indpendent, though), also looking at handshake tickets, she's done great, she almost sold out in one event, one rank below Sakuratan and Sasshi, her selling is always stable, and she also gained more female fans now, remember her Birthday Event in HKT theater? The encore leader was a female, and more shout was heard from female visitors, how is that? Kyappu is also fan of K-POP, that thing really makes some international HKT fans tried to push her, remember also the Odekake in Korea? She found Korean fan! LOOK! HOW AMAZING IS THAT!!! Kyappu is also my favourite, to be honest. My prediction so far is Kyappu will go to Future Girls, or even, Upcoming Girls

6. Murashige Anna (Aanya)

Miss Mentaiko, the trying-to-be-funny member, and Russian monkey, she gained more recognition after gaining solo CM in Magic Gum, is that great? YES!! The fact that she gained concurrency in NMB48 is also great, so she can learn with Yukirin and Sayanee well, she's great tutor, i guess.. And, also, some Japanese fans also consider her as a threat for any HKT members, then. Mmmm... what else, yeah, she also has Kobayashi Yoshinori's attention (he is animator, and seems 48 family critics, then. note : he is SASSHI hater), he wants to adopt Aanya as a kid, lol. Looking at handshake sales, Aanya is doing good, and for the Indonesian fans movement is also great, she always offers to be the best for everyone, acting like a histrionic (read : exaggerating), but still great. My prediction for her is just.. Upcoming Girls,

7. Motomura Aoi (Aoitan)

HKT super crybaby, but not anymore, or maybe, not shown too often in TV, like what she did in some Hyakkaten episodes. But, yeah, Aoitan is surprisingly doing great, but she has less media exposure, we never see her in magazine (yeah last time was the Young Jump gravure lottery), or stuff like that, but, Aoitan is doing great in handshake, yeah, not that great, but.. still promising, she still remained senbatsu spot in the 3 singles, this is very great! My prediction for Aoitan is just... Upcoming Girls, but Indonesian fans are planning to gather votes for Aoitan, you can go if you want to

8 & 9. Fuchigami Mai (Maichan)/Akiyoshi Yuka (Yukachan)

Maichan and Yukachan, these 2 amazing second gen is amazing thing, i think, the fact that some fans underrate Maichan is quite.. disgusting, remember the fact that she is also one of the 2nd gen (besides Meru and Mio) that get senbatsu spot in HKT 3 singles?? Even the management and media didn't push her well. OMG! Yukachan since 2nd single is doing great, her theater performance is improving, skills are better, and she also gained spots in couplings of AKB48 Maeshika Mukanee (Baby Elephants also). My prediction for these 2 girls are only.. Upcoming Girls

We still have some more girls, like Okada Kanna, Nakanishi Chiyori, Tani Marika or even Kojina Yui! WHY?? Some news told that there is a rich japanese fans who gave Yoshida Akari (NMB48) 5000 votes last year already oshihened to Kojina Yui, but these 9 girls has strong position

Yeah, that concludes my prediction, but, don't rely much on this, it's just PREDICTION! Election is a miracle, you can't even predict Sasshi won last year, or even Shibata Aya will gain center for Undergirls, right? Or maybe, Miichan dropped to Undergirls, it's unpredictable, right? So, let's wait for this interesting event, and don't forget to show your support to your oshimen. no matter what.

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Senbatsu Sousenkyo 2014 is up! HKT Analysis for this year! (Part 1 - Past Ranked Members)

Yeah.. The announcement for Senbatsu Sousenkyo has been announced, and the quota for members to rank has been expanded from 64 to 80, yeah, with the new rank called "Upcoming Girls".

Let's talk about the event first. the event will be on June 7th, in Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo, while the member can announce their candidacy, from March 31st to April 6th, with the voting period from May 20th to June 6th. So, is that amazing? i hope so..


And, let's flashback to the last year's election, and how HKT ranked last year

1. Sashihara Rino (last rank : 1 - Center)
This year's election will be a hard battle i think for her, since the other competitor, like Mayuyu, Jurina, and Paruru will try more efforts to vote their oshimen there, but looking at the last vote count, 150,570, this could be a great deal, and her fans are also increasing, and have extra power for that. Remember where Chinese Sasshi fans gave 10.000 votes to her last year?, maybe, there will be crazier fans like that this year, My prediction is Sasshi can gain top 5 this year

2. Miyawaki Sakura (last rank : 26 - Undergirls)
Sakuratan... last year election has proved a lot to her, like the crazily increasing rank from last election, from rank 47 to rank 26, this is a very big deal! but, having looked at the power for the last year's undergirls, i think, it will be a very tough battle for her, or even, to receive some members got rank declined (Milky can get it, due to scandal though), but HKT fans are now getting stronger by this year, but i don't know, the concentration of votes from them, since they are also planning to push other member who didn't rank.

But, with the strength of handshake ticket and some calculations, i think, Sakura will gain more votes this year, my prediction is she will remain Undergirls, but if increased, it will be... mm.. by little rank, for about 2-3 rank above the last

3. Kodama Haruka (last rank : 37 - Next Girls)
Haruppi.. this year election will be a very tough battle for her, she even has to battle with Meru fans, that i think, has rapidly increased, also, her handshake ticket is not too promising... but, not too bad, the exposure from press is also not that high, but, i think, the fans, will have more support for her, but, yeah, not much again

My prediction for Haruppi is mmmm... maybe, at the top of Next Girls (center maybe), or just bottom of Undergirls, 

4. Ota Aika (last rank : 43 - Next Girls)
Rabutan, i think this year will be a bad thing for her, since she didn't get more push in HKT48, she even didn't manage to sell handshake ticket well, and her position is brought back due to NakoMiku thing. but, i think, her getting chosen as Team KIV captain will be a great jump for her

My prediction for Rabutan is.. maybe, she will remain Next Girls, but her Indonesian fans are now making project to vote her, this could be great, if it succeed

5. Tashima Meru (last rank : 55 - Future Girls)
Meru.. when we talk about her, suddenly, we think of young center, next Jurina, lots of media exposure, new team H ace, she's too popular now, she gained lots of recognition, even she remained center for Sakutabe, what's the problem now? Amount of fans? I think, it has rapidly increased. Tentoumu Chu really brings her to more fame, so, why not increase?

In my opinion, this year, Meru will be like what Sakura did last year, increase with more ranks, Undergirls maybe?

6. Tomonaga Mio (last rank : 59 - Future Girls)
Mio.. we always talk about her getting center since Melon Juice and still... until Sakutabe, her getting included in Tentoumu Chu is also a great move, and also getting chance with concurrency in AKB48 team B, so, the election today can be a great jump

Prediction? Absolutely, Next Girls!

so, talking about the past member who get ranked, they will have a different rank, it's my opinion, yours??

share with us!